While winter means cold, and it does mean snowfall, the amount, the consistency and the quality of the winter season is not a given in this day and age. And with winter season 2024/25 upon us, what do the snow gods have in store for us?
Europe’s winter season 2023/24 kicked off well, lost some steam in the middle of the season but finished on a strong note. The Alps in particular did well, and even the Pyrenees had an above average winter season in 2023/24. Bulgaria and Eastern Europe saw some patchy performance, and Scandinavia did well too.
Since then, across Europe, we’ve had early snow cover, with snow falling in September! We’ve also had some horrible scenes with floods across Spain and a mild autumn across Northern Europe, with snowfall looking sparse up until now (November 2024).
In fact 2024 has been a year of unpredictable weather patterns across Europe. Record-breaking summer heatwaves swept through southern Europe, while northern regions experienced milder conditions. A persistent El Niño event—characterized by warmer-than-average Pacific Ocean temperatures—has had a global ripple effect, influencing weather systems far and wide.
So what are the predictions for winter season 2024/25?
Will there be good snowfall in Europe this year?
While weather forecasting is never an exact science, early indicators suggest a mixed bag for snowfall across Europe. El Niño winters often favour Scandinavian regions with cooler and snowier conditions, while parts of the Alps and Pyrenees might see more variable snowfall patterns.
Of course, it’s impossible to say with certainty how the winter season will turn out. Especially with the changing climate and unpredictable weather events. So we’ve taken a look at some of the various meteorological agencies across Europe and their own predictions. The ECWMF’s (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) seasonal forecasts remain a critical touchstone as we take a look into our snowy crystal ball.
As we’re seeing in November 2024, the snow is starting to fall across the Alpine region (as you can see from the chart below). But how does the rest of the season look?
1. The Alps Snow Predictions
The Alps remain Europe’s crown jewel for skiing and snowboarding. From France and Italy to Switzerland and Austria, and even down to Slovenia, the Alps are a winter playground. But, in recent years, the Alps have experienced increasingly erratic snowfalls, with some seasons delivering record highs and others plagued by dry spells.
What to Expect in 2024/25
- Western Alps (France and Switzerland): Early forecasts suggest above-average snowfall for high-altitude resorts like Val Thorens, Tignes, and Zermatt, particularly in January and February. Lower-lying resorts, however, may struggle during warm spells, with a reliance on artificial snow becoming increasingly critical.
- Eastern Alps (Austria and Northern Italy): A colder-than-average December could see strong early-season snowfalls. Resorts like St. Anton and the Dolomites are likely to perform well, though warmer trends in late February could challenge snow retention.
- Key Dates to Watch: The strongest storms are predicted between mid-January and early February, so plan accordingly for deep powder days.
Hot Spots
- Val d’Isère, France: With its high altitude and extensive snowmaking infrastructure, this resort is a reliable bet.
- St. Moritz, Switzerland: A strong contender for consistent snowfall, coupled with world-class facilities.
2. The Pyrenees Snow Predictions
Nestled between France and Spain, the Pyrenees often offer a quieter, less crowded alternative to the Alps. Recent years have seen solid snowfall, with some seasons outperforming expectations due to favorable Atlantic weather systems.
What to Expect in 2024/25
El Niño’s influence could result in drier-than-average conditions, particularly in southern and lower-altitude resorts. However, northern Pyrenean resorts like Andorra’s Grandvalira may still see decent snowfall thanks to their proximity to Atlantic storm tracks.
- Best Times to Visit: Mid-January through February is forecasted to be the most reliable period for snow.
- Challenges: Low-altitude resorts may struggle with early and late-season coverage, increasing reliance on artificial snow.
Hot Spots
- Baqueira-Beret, Spain: Known for its expansive terrain and excellent snow quality.
- Grandvalira, Andorra: With consistent snowfall and modern facilities, it’s a favorite for families and experts alike.
3. Eastern Europe Snow Predictions
From the Carpathians in Romania to the Tatra Mountains of Poland and Slovakia, Eastern Europe is gaining traction among adventurous skiers seeking affordable and off-the-beaten-path destinations.
What to Expect in 2024/25
El Niño years tend to bring colder, snowier conditions to parts of Eastern Europe, and 2024/25 looks promising. Resorts like Bansko in Bulgaria and Jasná in Slovakia are expected to see near-average to above-average snowfall, particularly in February and March.
- Early-Season Outlook: December could see patchy snow, but conditions should stabilize in January.
- Key Dates: Late-season skiers in March may find excellent conditions as temperatures remain cooler than in Western Europe.
Hot Spots
- Bansko, Bulgaria: Affordable and increasingly popular, with reliable snow and excellent après-ski.
- Jasná, Slovakia: Offers challenging terrain and a long season, thanks to its elevation.
4. Scandinavia Snow Predictions
Scandinavia, with its northerly latitude, often boasts some of the most dependable snow conditions in Europe. Resorts in Norway, Sweden, and Finland are known for their picturesque landscapes and long ski seasons.
What to Expect in 2024/25
The outlook for Scandinavia is highly favorable, with above-average snowfall predicted across the region. Resorts like Hemsedal in Norway and Åre in Sweden are expected to see strong, consistent snowfalls from December through March.
- Highlights: The Arctic resorts of Finland, such as Levi and Ylläs, could see excellent conditions, perfect for those combining skiing with Northern Lights viewing.
Hot Spots
Levi, Finland: A family-friendly destination with magical Arctic landscapes and great snow quality.
Hemsedal, Norway: Known as the Scandinavian Alps, this resort offers reliable snow and diverse terrain.
Stay up to date this winter
Whatever your plans, if you’re planning a winter ski or snowboard trip, keep an eye on the short and mid-range forecasts. While higher altitude resorts do offer the best security in the changing climate, there are often great experiences to be had on the smaller and lower ski resorts too – if you time it right.
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